Sao JosevsMarcílio Dias

Sao Jose are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Marcílio Dias are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Marcílio Dias hold a 3.9-point power-rating edge (50.6 v 54.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.9% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 13% BTTS chance and 6% for over 2.5 goals.