Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
28%
HighconfidenceSao Jose are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Gama are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and gama hold a 21.4-point power-rating edge (50.6 v 71.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Serie D, favouring a draw with 28.1% confidence, a 20% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
28.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Sao JoseLWDWD
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
GamaWLWLW
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Sao JoseGama
23.5Attack62.7
74.5Defence74.5
45.1Form76.5
50.6Power71.9
0.37xG0.94