GGOALVIO

Brazil · Paulista Série B · 5/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sao Carlos · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Sao Carlos are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Santacruzense are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 49.8 against 48.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the Paulista Série B, while Sao Carlos holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sao Carlos

Probability

44.8%

Model confidence

13.5%

Sao Carlos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sao CarlosLLWWL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SantacruzenseWLLWD

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sao CarlosSantacruzense
52.8Attack52.8
61.1Defence55.6
41.7Form41.7
49.8Power48.8
1.51xG1.12
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