GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Santos · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Santos are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while União São João are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Santos hold a 44.0-point power-rating edge (51.0 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Santos holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Santos

Probability

46.4%

Model confidence

46.4%

Santos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SantosWWLDL

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
União São JoãoLLWLW

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
SantosUnião São João
66.7Attack0.0
33.3Defence0.0
50.0Form0.0
51.0Power7.0
2.37xG1.40
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