GGOALVIO

Santos logoSantosvsFluminense logoFluminense

COMPLETED

Brazil · Serie A · 4/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fluminense · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Santos are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Fluminense are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Fluminense hold a 13.3-point power-rating edge (43.9 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.3% in the Serie A, while Fluminense holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fluminense

Probability

43.3%

Model confidence

43.3%

Fluminense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SantosDWLLW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
FluminenseLLDDW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
SantosFluminense
46.0Attack49.3
44.4Defence59.4
34.9Form55.1
43.9Power57.2
1.15xG1.56
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