GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/15/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Santos · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Santos are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Deportivo Recoleta are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Santos hold a 16.0-point power-rating edge (63.4 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.3% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Santos holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Santos

Probability

57.3%

Model confidence

57.3%

Santos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SantosWLLWD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Deportivo RecoletaDDDWL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
SantosDeportivo Recoleta
66.7Attack33.3
63.0Defence62.5
59.3Form37.5
63.4Power47.4
1.69xG0.70
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