Santosvs
Comerciantes
COMPLETEDPeru · Segunda División · 8/1/2026, 8:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Comerciantes · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Santos are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Comerciantes are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Comerciantes hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (49.4 v 60.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 27.4% in the Segunda División, while Comerciantes holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Comerciantes
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
27.4%
Comerciantes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40