GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie A · 7/25/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Santos · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Santos are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Chapecoense-sc are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Santos hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (43.9 v 29.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.8% in the Serie A, while Santos holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Santos

Probability

60.8%

Model confidence

60.8%

Santos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SantosWLWWW

GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Chapecoense-scLLWLL

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
SantosChapecoense-sc
46.0Attack31.7
44.4Defence31.7
34.9Form15.9
43.9Power29.4
2.11xG0.92
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