Santosvs
Chapecoense-sc
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 7/25/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santos · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Santos are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Chapecoense-sc are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Santos hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (43.9 v 29.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.8% in the Serie A, while Santos holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Santos
Probability
60.8%
Model confidence
60.8%
Santos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00