Santosvs
Atletico Paranaense
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 8/9/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Paranaense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Santos are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Atletico Paranaense are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Paranaense hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (43.9 v 60.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.5% in the Serie A, while Atletico Paranaense holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atletico Paranaense
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Atletico Paranaense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00