GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie A · 8/9/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atletico Paranaense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Santos are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Atletico Paranaense are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Paranaense hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (43.9 v 60.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.5% in the Serie A, while Atletico Paranaense holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atletico Paranaense

Probability

41.5%

Model confidence

41.5%

Atletico Paranaense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SantosWDWDW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Atletico ParanaenseLWDWW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
SantosAtletico Paranaense
46.0Attack44.9
44.4Defence71.0
34.9Form59.4
43.9Power60.0
0.81xG1.44
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