Santos Lagunavs
Atlas
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX · 7/26/2026, 3:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Santos Laguna are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Atlas are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlas hold a 39.6-point power-rating edge (19.2 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.4% in the Liga MX, while Atlas holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atlas
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
Atlas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60