GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX · 7/26/2026, 3:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Santos Laguna are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Atlas are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlas hold a 39.6-point power-rating edge (19.2 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.4% in the Liga MX, while Atlas holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlas

Probability

46.4%

Model confidence

46.4%

Atlas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Santos LagunaLLWWW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AtlasWLDLL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Santos LagunaAtlas
22.2Attack44.4
22.2Defence55.6
0.0Form66.7
19.2Power58.8
1.15xG1.69
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