GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera B · 8/16/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Santiago Wanderers · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Mediumconfidence

Santiago Wanderers are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while D. Puerto Montt are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Santiago Wanderers hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (63.4 v 55.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.7% in the Primera B, while Santiago Wanderers holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Santiago Wanderers

Probability

50.9%

Model confidence

14.7%

Santiago Wanderers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Santiago WanderersDLWWL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
D. Puerto MonttDWWLW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Santiago WanderersD. Puerto Montt
64.8Attack38.9
63.0Defence66.7
61.1Form55.6
63.4Power55.6
1.42xG0.77
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