GGOALVIO

Chile · Segunda División · 5/25/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Santiago City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Santiago City are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Real San Joaquín are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Santiago City hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (55.8 v 44.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.0% in the Segunda División, while Santiago City holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Santiago City

Probability

45.2%

Model confidence

13.0%

Santiago City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Santiago CityDWWDD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Real San JoaquínLDDWW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Santiago CityReal San Joaquín
48.7Attack46.2
51.3Defence51.3
59.0Form35.9
55.8Power44.9
1.58xG1.18
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