GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 3/28/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Santamarina are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Sol de Mayo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sol de Mayo hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (34.7 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.3% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.3%

Model confidence

45.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SantamarinaDDWLL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Sol de MayoDLWWL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
SantamarinaSol de Mayo
17.5Attack33.3
57.9Defence57.9
22.8Form36.8
34.7Power45.3
0.59xG0.80
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