Santa FevsRiver Plate

Santa Fe are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while River Plate are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Fe hold a 22.4-point power-rating edge (94.8 v 72.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.8% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Santa Fe holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.