Santa Fevs
Independiente Medellin
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 3/23/2026, 9:10:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santa Fe · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Santa Fe are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Independiente Medellin are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 55.9 against 55.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.7% in the Primera A, while Santa Fe holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Santa Fe
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
Santa Fe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00