GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 1/28/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Santa Fe · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Santa Fe are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Deportivo Pereira are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Fe hold a 23.3-point power-rating edge (55.9 v 32.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.2% in the Primera A, while Santa Fe holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Santa Fe

Probability

68.2%

Model confidence

68.2%

Santa Fe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Santa FeDDLDW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo PereiraDLLLL

GF 1 · GA 14 · avg 0.20/2.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Santa FeDeportivo Pereira
51.3Attack23.8
64.1Defence47.6
50.0Form17.5
55.9Power32.6
1.85xG0.44
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