Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santa Fe · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Santa Fe are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Chico are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Fe hold a 25.7-point power-rating edge (55.9 v 30.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.2% in the Primera A, while Santa Fe holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Santa Fe
Probability
73.2%
Model confidence
73.2%
Santa Fe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00