Santa FevsAtletico Nacional

Santa Fe are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Atletico Nacional are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Nacional hold a 12.9-point power-rating edge (55.9 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.4% in the Primera A, while Atletico Nacional holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.