Santa FevsAlianza Valledupar

Santa Fe are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Alianza Valledupar are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Fe hold an 18.9-point power-rating edge (55.9 v 37.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.7% in the Primera A, while Santa Fe holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.