GGOALVIO

Brazil · Paulista Série B · 5/1/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Assisense · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Santa Fé FC are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Assisense are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Assisense hold an 18.6-point power-rating edge (32.0 v 50.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.2% in the Paulista Série B, while Assisense holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Assisense

Probability

55.2%

Model confidence

55.2%

Assisense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Santa Fé FCLW

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
AssisenseWLLDL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Santa Fé FCAssisense
33.3Attack47.2
33.3Defence55.6
20.0Form41.7
32.0Power50.6
0.90xG1.82
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