Santa Cruzvs
Maranhão
SCHEDULEDBrazil · Serie C · 8/15/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Santa Cruz are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Maranhão are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Cruz hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (55.9 v 49.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 33.6% in the Serie C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 18% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
33.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60