GGOALVIO

Santa Cruz logoSanta CruzvsItuano logoItuano

COMPLETED

Brazil · Serie C · 7/4/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Santa Cruz are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Ituano are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Cruz hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (55.9 v 50.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.4% in the Serie C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.4%

Model confidence

45.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Santa CruzWLWDD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
ItuanoDDDLW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Santa CruzItuano
35.4Attack37.5
72.9Defence64.6
52.1Form45.8
55.9Power50.6
0.82xG0.55
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