GGOALVIO

Brazil · Copa Rio · 6/17/2026, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pérolas Negras · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Mediumconfidence

Santa Cruz RJ are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Pérolas Negras are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Pérolas Negras hold a 51.3-point power-rating edge (13.2 v 64.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.3% in the Copa Rio, while Pérolas Negras holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pérolas Negras

Probability

53.8%

Model confidence

13.3%

Pérolas Negras has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Santa Cruz RJDLWWW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Pérolas NegrasLLWLW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Santa Cruz RJPérolas Negras
16.7Attack83.3
0.0Defence66.7
0.0Form58.3
13.2Power64.4
0.82xG1.58
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