GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 8/16/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Santa Cruz FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

Santa Cruz FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Municipal Grecia are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Municipal Grecia hold a 37.0-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.9% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Santa Cruz FC holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Santa Cruz FC

Probability

40.0%

Model confidence

8.9%

Santa Cruz FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Santa Cruz FCLLDWW

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Municipal GreciaWDWLD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Santa Cruz FCMunicipal Grecia
0.0Attack58.3
0.0Defence28.1
0.0Form42.7
7.0Power44.0
1.97xG1.89
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