Santa Claravs
Nacional
COMPLETEDPortugal · Primeira Liga · 8/10/2026, 7:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santa Clara · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Santa Clara are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Nacional are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Clara hold a 15.2-point power-rating edge (55.6 v 40.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.7% in the Primeira Liga, while Santa Clara holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Santa Clara
Probability
50.9%
Model confidence
20.7%
Santa Clara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80