GGOALVIO

Portugal · Primeira Liga · 8/10/2026, 7:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Santa Clara · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Santa Clara are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Nacional are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Clara hold a 15.2-point power-rating edge (55.6 v 40.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.7% in the Primeira Liga, while Santa Clara holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Santa Clara

Probability

50.9%

Model confidence

20.7%

Santa Clara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Santa ClaraLWDWD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
NacionalWLLWW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Santa ClaraNacional
35.3Attack31.4
68.6Defence51.0
55.9Form33.3
55.6Power40.5
1.17xG0.51
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