Santa Claravs
Moreirense
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 7/22/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santa Clara · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Santa Clara are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Moreirense are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Clara hold a 28.2-point power-rating edge (88.7 v 60.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Santa Clara holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Santa Clara
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
46.6%
Santa Clara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00