Santa Claravs
Arouca
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 7/25/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santa Clara · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Santa Clara are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Arouca are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Clara hold a 46.6-point power-rating edge (88.7 v 42.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Santa Clara holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Santa Clara
Probability
54.6%
Model confidence
54.6%
Santa Clara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80