Santa CatarinavsSão Luiz

Santa Catarina are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while São Luiz are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Catarina hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (60.1 v 50.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.0% in the Serie D, while Santa Catarina holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.