Santa CatarinavsSao Jose

Santa Catarina are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Sao Jose are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Catarina hold a 9.6-point power-rating edge (60.1 v 50.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.8% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.