Santa CatarinavsJoinville

Santa Catarina are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Joinville are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Catarina hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (60.1 v 54.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.3% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.