Santa CatarinavsJacuipense

Santa Catarina are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Jacuipense are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Catarina hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 36.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.5% in the Copa Do Brasil, while Santa Catarina holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.