Santa Catarinavs
Cuiaba
COMPLETEDBrazil · Copa Do Brasil · 3/4/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santa Catarina · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Santa Catarina are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Cuiaba are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Catarina hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.6% in the Copa Do Brasil, while Santa Catarina holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Santa Catarina
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
14.6%
Santa Catarina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40