Santa CatarinavsCianorte

Santa Catarina are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Cianorte are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Catarina hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (60.1 v 50.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.2% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.