GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 2/14/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sanfrecce Hiroshima · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Fagiano Okayama are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sanfrecce Hiroshima hold a 42.8-point power-rating edge (95.8 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.9% in the J1 League, while Sanfrecce Hiroshima holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Probability

52.9%

Model confidence

52.9%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sanfrecce HiroshimaWWLWW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Fagiano OkayamaDLWLD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Sanfrecce HiroshimaFagiano Okayama
100.0Attack33.3
83.3Defence66.7
100.0Form50.0
95.8Power53.0
1.77xG0.95
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