Sanfrecce Hiroshimavs
Cerezo Osaka
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 4/25/2026, 7:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Cerezo Osaka are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sanfrecce Hiroshima hold a 53.2-point power-rating edge (95.8 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.9% in the J1 League, while Sanfrecce Hiroshima holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Probability
62.0%
Model confidence
10.9%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20