GGOALVIO

Sweden · Superettan · 4/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Varbergs BoIS FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sandviken are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Varbergs BoIS FC are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Varbergs BoIS FC hold an 8.1-point power-rating edge (52.7 v 60.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the Superettan, while Varbergs BoIS FC holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Varbergs BoIS FC

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

36.5%

Varbergs BoIS FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SandvikenDLLDW

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Varbergs BoIS FCLWWLW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
SandvikenVarbergs BoIS FC
57.4Attack63.0
53.7Defence55.6
46.3Form61.1
52.7Power60.8
1.60xG1.64
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