GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 2/14/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

San Telmo are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Ferro Carril Oeste are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferro Carril Oeste hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (43.6 v 59.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

46.7%

Model confidence

46.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San TelmoLWLWL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Ferro Carril OesteWWWLD

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
San TelmoFerro Carril Oeste
26.1Attack38.9
65.2Defence69.4
33.3Form63.9
43.6Power59.8
0.49xG0.79
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