GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 3/22/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

San Telmo are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Colon Santa Fe are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Colon Santa Fe hold a 13.5-point power-rating edge (43.6 v 57.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.9% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

46.9%

Model confidence

46.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San TelmoDLDLL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Colon Santa FeWDDWW

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
San TelmoColon Santa Fe
26.1Attack40.3
65.2Defence73.6
33.3Form54.2
43.6Power57.1
0.43xG0.81
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