GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 5/23/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

San Telmo are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Ciudad de Bolívar are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Ciudad de Bolívar hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (43.6 v 51.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.5% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 18% BTTS chance and 9% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

52.5%

Model confidence

52.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San TelmoDDDWD

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 0.40/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Ciudad de BolívarWWLWW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
San TelmoCiudad de Bolívar
26.1Attack29.2
65.2Defence70.8
33.3Form47.2
43.6Power51.6
0.48xG0.58
View match centre →