San Miguelvs
San Telmo
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 3/14/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
San Miguel are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while San Telmo are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and San Miguel hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (46.9 v 42.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.3% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 18% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
51.3%
Model confidence
51.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20