GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 3/14/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

San Miguel are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while San Telmo are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and San Miguel hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (46.9 v 42.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.3% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 18% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

51.3%

Model confidence

51.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San MiguelWDLWD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
San TelmoLDLLW

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
San MiguelSan Telmo
26.4Attack25.0
68.1Defence62.5
40.3Form31.9
46.9Power42.0
0.66xG0.44
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