GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 7/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

San Miguel are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Ferro Carril Oeste are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferro Carril Oeste hold a 14.0-point power-rating edge (46.9 v 60.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.2% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

47.2%

Model confidence

47.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San MiguelDWDDD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Ferro Carril OesteWWWWD

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
San MiguelFerro Carril Oeste
26.4Attack41.3
68.1Defence69.3
40.3Form65.3
46.9Power60.9
0.50xG0.77
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