San Miguelvs
Colegiales
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 8/15/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
San Miguel are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Colegiales are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Colegiales hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (45.2 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 32.6% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
32.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.20/0.80
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20