GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 2/28/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

San Miguel are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Chaco For Ever are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and San Miguel hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (45.2 v 42.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.0% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

49.0%

Model confidence

49.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San MiguelDLWDD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Chaco For EverDLDLD

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
San MiguelChaco For Ever
24.6Attack30.4
66.7Defence59.4
37.7Form31.9
45.2Power42.8
0.66xG0.56
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