GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 2/13/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

San Miguel are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Central Norte are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and San Miguel hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (45.2 v 42.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.8% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 15% BTTS chance and 7% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

54.8%

Model confidence

54.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San MiguelDDLDW

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Central NorteDLLWL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
San MiguelCentral Norte
24.6Attack21.7
66.7Defence65.2
37.7Form33.3
45.2Power42.8
0.56xG0.40
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