GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 5/23/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

San Miguel are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Almirante Brown are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Almirante Brown hold a 10.9-point power-rating edge (45.2 v 56.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.4% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 12% BTTS chance and 5% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

58.4%

Model confidence

58.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San MiguelLDDLD

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Almirante BrownDDWWW

GF 3 · GA 0 · avg 0.60/0.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
San MiguelAlmirante Brown
24.6Attack26.4
66.7Defence81.9
37.7Form52.8
45.2Power56.1
0.34xG0.51
View match centre →