San Miguelvs
Acassuso
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 7/26/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
San Miguel are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Acassuso are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and San Miguel hold a 4.9-point power-rating edge (45.2 v 40.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.9% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 18% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
50.9%
Model confidence
50.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80