GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 7/26/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

San Miguel are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Acassuso are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and San Miguel hold a 4.9-point power-rating edge (45.2 v 40.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.9% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 18% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

50.9%

Model confidence

50.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San MiguelLDWDD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
AcassusoLDLLW

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
San MiguelAcassuso
24.6Attack24.6
66.7Defence59.4
37.7Form30.4
45.2Power40.3
0.66xG0.45
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