GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 8/16/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

San Martín Mendoza are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Deportivo Rincon are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Rincon hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (48.1 v 51.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 32.0% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.6%

Model confidence

32.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San Martín MendozaWDDDW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Deportivo RinconWWWLL

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
San Martín MendozaDeportivo Rincon
25.9Attack35.2
68.5Defence66.7
42.6Form46.3
48.1Power51.4
0.56xG0.62
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