GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 7/5/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

San Martín Mendoza are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Deportivo Rincon are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 49.9 against 51.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.4% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

50.4%

Model confidence

50.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San Martín MendozaLWDWD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo RinconLLWLD

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
San Martín MendozaDeportivo Rincon
28.1Attack33.3
68.4Defence68.4
45.6Form45.6
49.9Power51.2
0.57xG0.58
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