GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 4/5/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

San Martín Mendoza are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Atenas are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atenas hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (49.9 v 52.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.2% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 16% BTTS chance and 8% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

54.2%

Model confidence

54.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San Martín MendozaLDDDL

GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
AtenasLWLLW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
San Martín MendozaAtenas
28.1Attack28.1
68.4Defence71.9
45.6Form50.9
49.9Power52.5
0.51xG0.49
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