San Martín Burzacovs
Sportivo Italiano
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 7/18/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
San Martín Burzaco are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Sportivo Italiano are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Sportivo Italiano hold a 10.2-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 58.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 30.1% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
30.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60